For decades travel agents had a “lock” on vacations. Before the internet it was near impossible to find cheap fares yourself. And choosing the perfect hotel involved a lot of flicking through glossy brochures.The “do it yourself” approach was a huge hassle. It was a lot easier to hire a knowledgeable travel agent. Then disruptor stocks like Booking.com (BKNG) and Expedia (EXPE) blew up the old model forever. With a few clicks, you could compare any flight or hotel in the world.For the first time ever, you could find all the special deals and hidden gems only travel agents knew about. Meanwhile Priceline (now Booking.com) has made investors rich. Its stock shot up 25,000% in two decades, as you can see here:
Booking.com and Expedia Got a Helping Hand from an “Ultimate Disruptor”
How often do you “Google” something? If you’re like me, you use Google (GOOG) search dozens of times every day. In fact, for every 100 searches typed into the internet, 88 flow through Google.When our kids are sick, we “Google” their symptoms. If we’re headed someplace, we ask Google for directions. And when you’re booking a vacation, chances are you start by typing “Flights to London” or “Alps skiing” into the Google search bar.As the Internet’s Homepage, Google Is the “Gatekeeper” of Vacations
When you search for a flight or hotel, Google controls what appears on your screen. For years, websites like TripAdvisor, Expedia, and Booking.com have paid Google billions of dollars to push their websites near the top of the search results.Appearing near the top of the page is extremely important. Folks are 10x more likely to click on the first link than the one at the bottom of the page. Ten times! In other words, a website’s ranking on Google can make or break a business.So online travel sites pay Google huge sums of money to rent this “prime real estate” and get clicks from travel planners. Here’s what appeared when I searched for “hotels in Melbourne.”![](https://www.iris.xyz/wp-content/uploads/2019/12/melbourne-hotels.png)
But Google Is a Wolf in Disguise, and It Just Took Off Its Sheep Costume
Think about what made online travel companies so successful. They brought together data on thousands of hotels and flights, and created an easy-to-use website where you could book your own vacation.Well, when it comes to sorting out huge piles of information, nobody can match Google. And now it’s using those skills to conquer online travel.Earlier this year Google launched “Google Travel.” It allows you to filter through the best and the cheapest flights and hotels on Google. In other words, it does exactly what Booking.com and Expedia do.I typed “flights” into Google and here’s what popped up:![](https://www.iris.xyz/wp-content/uploads/2019/12/flights-from-dublin.png)
Google Travel Is Choking off the Flow of Customers to Other Travel Websites
Last month outgoing Expedia CEO Mark Okerstrom said traffic from Google is “shrinking all the time.”Online review website TripAdvisor is also feeling the squeeze. On its latest earnings call, management announced: “Our most significant challenge remains Google pushing its own hotel products in search and siphoning off quality traffic that would otherwise find TripAdvisor.”These companies are strapped to a conveyor belt, headed toward the Google buzzsaw. And recent earnings haven’t been pretty. TripAdvisor’s sales have plunged for three quarters in a row.Meanwhile Expedia and Booking are growing at their slowest pace in several years. Heck, Expedia’s board of directors just ousted its CEO for poor performance. All three stocks are trading like they’re going out of business.Here’s TripAdvisor (TRIP):![](https://www.iris.xyz/wp-content/uploads/2019/12/trip-advisor-stock-price-history.png)
![](https://www.iris.xyz/wp-content/uploads/2019/12/expedia-stock-price-history.png)
![](https://www.iris.xyz/wp-content/uploads/2019/12/booking-holdings-stock-price-history.png)