Lance Roberts

Given the risk of a change to monetary policy, high levels of complacency, it's likely wise to consider rebalancing portfolios. #investing

Whatever event causes a rush of investors to the exits, is not something we are currently discussing or worried about in the financial media.

Pay attention to these indicators. The Fed is discussing taper. The yield curve is flattening, and there is a risk the Fed will hike rates next year.

Wall Street is notorious for missing significant turning points in markets and leaving investors scrambling for the exits. #stockmarket

The promise of something for nothing will never lose its luster. MMT should be viewed as a form of political propaganda rather than any real public policy.

What it may seem that past performance is a guarantee, there are two essential things to remember. #performance #investing #investor

The problem for investors is the inflation of assets prices far beyond what the actual economy can generate in terms of future revenue and earnings growth.

With the entirety of the financial ecosystem more heavily levered than ever, the instability of stability is now the most significant risk.

Given the dynamics for an economic recession remain, it will only require an unexpected, exogenous event to push the economy back into contraction.

Many young investors with knowledge today will eventually gain a lot of experience by giving most of their gains. #investors

Deflation remains the most significant threat as permanent growth doesn’t come from an artificial stimulus or debt. #economy #inflation #investing

Spending on infrastructure no more “creates wealth” than any other kind of government spending. #infastructure #spending #investing

When the eventual unwinding occurs a new generation of investors will learn the brutal lessons of excess risk, speculation, leverage, and greed. #investors

While Wall Street pushes out products to make you feel like you are socially responsible, they laugh all the way to the bank. #ESG

Capitalism created the opportunity for corporations to exist. Things went wrong when corporations took advantage of the system.

Unfortunately, deflation remains the most significant threat as permanent growth doesn’t come from an artificial stimulus. #inflation #stockmarket

Pay attention to the market. The action this year is very reminiscent of previous market topping processes. #stockmarket 

When “sell signals” are given, that is the time when individuals should perform some essential portfolio risk management.

Stock market optimism is extremely elevated. Such is certainly justified by stock market behavior over the past year and recent economic releases.

The one lesson you should have learned in 2020? The unexpected outcome occurs more often than you expect. #stockmarket

Chasing an arbitrary index that is 100% invested in the equity market requires you to take on far more risk than you most likely realize.

We are in a strongly trending bull market, driven by massive amounts of exuberance and liquidity. #stockmarket #bullmarket #investing

Over the next several weeks, or even months, the markets can extend the current deviations from the long-term mean even further. #stockmarket

Investor appetites for risk remain robust in the short term, history suggests that such willful blindness leads to terrible outcomes. 

A bubble is a market cycle that is characterized by the rapid escalation of market value, particularly in the price of assets. #stockmarket

Hiking the minimum wage, given the subsequent trickle up effect, will lead to further increases in productivity and a reduction in employment.

The problem is that the next mean reverting event will remove most, if not all, of the gains investors have made over the last five years.

Momentum-driven markets are hard to kill in the latter stages, particularly as exuberance builds. However, they do eventually end.

While it is entirely true that “you can not time the market,” you can do some analysis and make deliberate changes to avoid problems.

We remain bullish on the markets currently as momentum is still in play. We are also continually taking precautions to manage risk accordingly.

Wall Street is notorious for missing significant turning points in markets and leaving investors scrambling for the exits. #economy #stockmarket

It is likely that by mid-summer we will see a decent correction as the peak in the economic and earnings data becomes visible.

Many young investors will eventually gain a lot of experience by giving most of their money away to those with experience. #investors

Next year, when the money is all spent, we will find poverty levels surged, economic growth weakened, and deficits exploded.

Don’t make this mistake. Although there are certainly some good reasons to sell stocks, the lack of trading commissions isn’t one of them.

Given that the markets have not been allowed to reset, speculators are now simply chasing the next momentum trade called value.

The threat of hyperinflation remains an outlier due to the economic detractors mounting over the last 40-years. #hyperinflation

We are in a stock market bubble. But what if conventional methods of examining market cycles miss a crucial point? #stockmarket

Experience tends to be a brutal teacher, but it is only through experience that we learn how to build wealth successfully over the long-term.

When capitalism isn’t allowed to work for the equality of the whole, the populous will vote themselves equality in misery.

While we likely see a spark of inflation, it won’t last long. The grip of the debt-driven deflationary cycle will regain its burdensome hold.

Yes. We are in a stock market bubble. The only question is, what will be the issue that eventually pops it? #stockmarket

The U.S. economy will never return to either its long-term linear or exponential growth trends. #stockmarket #stimulus

Throughout history, bubbles are a function of the extraordinary popular delusions and the madness of crowds. #stockmarket

It is likely we should consider using any rally to remove excess risk until the technical backdrop improves. #stockmarket

2021 will likely be a disappointment to those expecting more robust economic growth and inflation. #stockmarket #grwoth #inflation

With the average American still living well beyond their means, the reality is that economic growth will remain mired at lower levels.

It’s not too late to take action to preserve capital now, so you have the money to invest with later. #stockmarket #investing #investor

All we can do is analyze what has happened in the past, weed through the noise of the present and try to discern the possible outcomes of the future.

Take a step back from the media and Wall Street commentary for a moment and make an honest assessment of the financial markets today.