J.P. Morgan Asset Management

Committee’s bias to reducing rates this year, however, the timing of the cuts will depend on how confident the committee is on achieving 2% inflation

A ripe environment for active management, investors still have plenty of reason to step out of cash and into risk this year. #strategy

Small caps are at attractive valuations, quality in large caps may be more beneficial in the year ahead, and mid-caps provide a compelling middle ground.

The number of tankers transiting through the Red Sea have fallen by more than half over the past six months, suggesting passages have already redirected.

For investors, should fundamentals remain solid we would expect the Fed to begin gradually reducing rates by the middle of this year. #Fed

Many investors wonder if they can tweak their existing exposures to be either more defensive against volatility or more opportunistic. #markets

We can control how we react to positive and negative surprises by having a measured approach to portfolios. #investing #markets

It is likely this significant increase in Treasury bond supply relative to estimates contributed to the move higher in bond yields this year. #markets

FOMC voted to leave the Federal funds rate unchanged at a target range of 5.25%-5.50% and strongly hinted it is finished hiking interest rates this cycle.

Dynamics in 2024 are likely to differ, come what may, alternative assets offer outcomes that clients reliably seek in portfolios. #markets

The dynamics in 2024 are likely to differ, come what may, alternative assets offer outcomes that clients reliably seek in portfolios. #alternatives

Falling net interest costs can assist decelerating input costs and wages in supporting stabilizing margins. #markets #interest

Performance in developed markets excluding the U.S. has been much less concentrated year-to-date: the top 10 companies in the index are up 13.7% #markets

The issue with technical analysis, however, is that while it can be very effective at predicting daily performance, it is less helpful. #strategy 

Investors should look toward attractively priced companies with strong balance sheets and resilient profits. #investors #markets

While many of the traditional sources of diversification have been challenged by market conditions, alternative investments can enhance diversification.

Reengaging actively managed fixed income will be critical for portfolios over the next market cycle. #income #bonds

Inflation could prompt another rate hike either in December or early next year, short-term bumps in a downward trending economy likely keep the Fed on hold

Jump in energy equities may seem like a temporary phenomenon, but a variety of economic factors could support the sector’s performance. #markets

The question for investors, however, is which measure of earnings has the highest correlation with stock market returns. #markets #investors

Missing the best days can be costly, while avoiding the worst days can be beneficial. #markets #investing #investors

Put differently, better than expected economic data has forced investors to temper their expectations for Fed rate cuts next year. #markets

Will enter a recession or not, but we do believe slow growth is the most likely outcome, while risks for a mild recession remain. #recession

While investors may scrutinize the median dot plot, they should recognize that there are a wide range of views across committee members. #markets

investors may be well served by looking for any signs that tighter conditions are beginning to weigh on activity. #markets

What happens in China will continue to influence growth, sentiment, and performance in the broader EM universe. #China #EM

Looking ahead, recent softness in the labor market, coupled with a downward trend in inflation, should be enough to keep the Federal Reserve on hold.

Suggest that there is an evolving opportunity in the office space for investors who can deploy additional capital. #investors #office

India’s smaller share in global manufacturing exports and its lower dependence on the China reopening story helps to explain its strength. #India

A soft landing has risen given the generally strong incoming data, the concern is that most leading indicators continue to point to recession. #markets

Spreads have tightened year-to-date, the potential timing and magnitude of spread widening, and sectoral trends that suggest an active approach. #markets

International has not always sold off more. In some instances, it has performed in line or even better. #markets #US #world

While the Fed may need some more convincing over the next two meetings, it seems reasonable to expect this tightening cycle will end this year. #markets

The likely cause for declining oil prices is increased U.S. production, which is expected to reach an all-time high in 2023. #oil #USA #investing

It would not be surprising to see a more notable re-rating in valuations later this year or in early 2024. #investors #markets

The megacap tech stocks, which account for the lion’s share of positive market performance year-to-date, and everything else. #markets

Slower economic growth, higher interest rates and tightening credit conditions are likely to weigh on CapEx. #recession #markets

Office remains the weakest sector, as vacancy rates remain elevated, and firms struggle to fully exit remote working. #remote #alternative

Falling energy and electricity prices helped disinflation in headline CPI, which rose just 0.1% on the month. #inflation #markets

Proactively hedging portfolios from the chance that inflation is harder to tame than many currently expect. #strategy

Hawkish Fed expectations, and resilient economic data, the overall macro landscape is one of slowing growth and receding inflation. #rates

the market’s perception of the path for Federal Reserve policy seems a bit misguided. #markets #strategy

It has become increasingly necessary to have some assets outside of traditional 401ks and IRAs. #retirement #planning #medicare

Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen now expect the U.S. could run out of funding by early June due to smaller-than-expected April tax receipts. #debt #US

Anticipated policy decision, the Federal Open Market Committee FOMC voted to raise the Federal funds rate by 0.25% at its May meeting. #strategy

Many banks stepped away from riskier lending in the aftermath of 2008, creating an opportunity for private credit firms. #lending #risk

The announcement came roughly a year after President Biden signed an executive order tasking the Federal Reserve with looking into a CBDC. #crypto

Much of the stickiness that has been ascribed to core services may largely reflect the lingering hangover of supply chain issues. #strategy

Fed ponders its next step, investors should be mindful that the window of opportunity that has emerged in fixed income may slam shut quickly. #fixedincome